Ренн — Краснодар: прогноз на матч ЛЧ-2020/2021
Краснодар готовится к дебюту в главном клубном турнире Европы.
20 октября пройдут первые матчи первого тура Лиги чемпионов. В одном из них встретятся французский Ренн и Краснодар. Команды попали в группу Е, где их конкурентами за выход в плей-офф станут английский Челси и испанская Севилья, являющаяся действующим победителем Лиги Европы. Коллективы, которые примут участие в данной встрече, являются андердогами в борьбе за второе место. Вероятнее всего, между ними развернется схватка за третью строчку, которая дает право на участие в 1/16 Лиги Европы. Тем не менее, данные клубы нельзя списывать со счетов ввиду плотного расписания нынешнего сезона и большой конкуренции в чемпионатах оппонентов. В данной статье мы разберем шансы команд на победу в предстоящем матче. Сначала рассмотрим игровую форму соперников.
Ренн
В нынешнем сезоне Ренн провел 7 матчей в рамках французской Лиги 1. В них он одержал 4 победы, а также свел 3 встречи вничью. Благодаря длительной беспроигрышной серии он делит первую строчку с местным гегемоном ПСЖ, уступая ему лишь по разнице мячей. В текущей кампании французы сыграли с Лиллем, Монпелье, Нимом, Монако, Сент-Этьеном, Реймсом и Дижоном. При этом последние две встречи с не самыми сильными соперниками завершились с ничейным результатом. Несмотря на отличные показатели, из серьезных соперников у Ренна были лишь Лилль и Монако, вследствие чего достигнутый результат не отражает реальную силу коллектива.
В нынешнее трансферное окно состав Ренна пополнили Даниэле Ругани, Жереми Доку, Энрике Далберт, Альфред Гомис и Мартин Терье. В результате была значительно усилена оборонительная линия команды. При этом из состава ушел нападающий Рафинья, а также голкипер Эдуар Менди, ставший одним из творцов успеха клуба в прошлом сезоне. На данный момент достаточно сложно говорить о том, вписались ли новички в игровую схему Ренна. При этом стоит отметить, что в предстоящей встрече не примут участие сразу 5 игроков основного состава, что может значительно сказаться на итоговом результате.
Краснодар
Российский коллектив пробивался в основную стадию Лиги чемпионов через квалификационный раунд. В нем Краснодару противостоял Греческий ПАОК, который был дважды обыгран с одинаковым счетом 2:1. Таким образом, команда впервые в своей истории вышла в групповой этап самого престижного турнира старого света. Несмотря на успехи на европейской арене, во внутреннем чемпионате дела команды обстоят куда хуже. В 11 матчах Российской Премьер-Лиги клуб выиграл пять раз и еще по три раза проиграл и сыграл вничью. На данный момент коллектив занимает шестую строчку, отставая от лидирующего Зенита на 6 очков.
Главная проблема краснодарцев заключается в том, что в прошедших встречах им противостояли далеко не самые сильные соперники. Очки были потеряны с обескровленным Ростовом и ЦСКА, также вничью закончился матч с Сочи, заканчивавшим матч в меньшинстве. Также команда потерпела поражения от Динамо, Урала и Локомотива. В нынешней кампании Краснодар выигрывает лишь у скромных клубов, что также говорит о серьезных неприятностях. В нынешнее трансферное окно состав команды пополнили Алексей Ионов, Евгений Марков, Игорь Смольников, Евгений Городов и Евгений Чернов. Несмотря на неплохое усиление, клуб все еще не реализовал свой потенциал.
Состояние команд перед игрой
В России первая половина сезона традиционно является более насыщенной. Кроме того, перерыв между предыдущей и новой кампаниями составил всего лишь пару недель, чего недостаточно для полноценного отдыха. Часть игроков Краснодара также приняла участие в матчах сборных, что наверняка скажется на их физическом состоянии. При этом прошлый сезон французской Лиги 1 был отменен из-за пандемии коронавируса, да и в нынешнем Ренн провел на порядок матчей меньше. В результате команда из Франции может физически оказаться намного сильнее оппонентов, о чем говорит статистика обоих матчей с греческим ПАОКом, когда во втором матче соперник начинал играть намного лучше краснодарцев.
Прогноз на матч
Физическая форма станет одним из наиболее важных показателей в нынешнем сезоне. По данному показателю Ренн на голову сильнее оппонента, вследствие чего у французского коллектива наверняка будет существенный перевес во второй половине игры. Ставка на победу Ренна во втором тайме за 2,2 является достаточно интересной. Менее рискованное пари на гол французов во втором тайме за 1,57 также кажется весьма заманчивым.
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