Бавария – Атлетико: прогноз на матч Лиги чемпионов
21 октября пройдут вторые матчи первого тура Лиги Чемпионов. Одной из главных встреч дня станет противостояние действующего обладателя турнира мюнхенской Баварии и одного из сильнейших клубов Испании мадридского Атлетико. Команды попали в группу А, где их конкурентами за выход в плей-офф станут австрийский РБ Зальцбург и московский Локомотив. Борьба за первое место развернется между участниками обозреваемой игры, тогда как главным андердогом квартета является команда из Австрии. Российский коллектив вероятнее всего будет претендовать за место в Лиге Европы. В данной статье мы рассмотрим шансы команд на победу в предстоящей игре, а также дадим прогнозы на наиболее вероятные исходы. Сначала разберем текущую игровую форму соперников.
Бавария
В августе немецкий коллектив завоевал шестой титул Лиги Чемпионов в своей истории. Из-за насыщенного расписания в конце лета команда фактически пропустила предсезонную подготовку, начав тренировочный процесс лишь за неделю до старта очередного сезона. Несмотря на это, в первом туре чемпионата Бавария разгромила Шальке со счетом 8:0, сходу заявив о своих амбициях на предстоящую кампанию. Далее команда завоевала Суперкубок Европы, в дополнительном времени переиграв Севилью, после чего немецкий гранд в гостях уступил Хоффенхайму 1:4. Далее последовали четыре победы подряд, две из которых произошли в чемпионате, одна в кубке, а также одна в Суперкубке Германии. Таким образом, в этом сезоне мюнхенцы завоевали уже два титула.
Несмотря на отличные результаты, Бавария испытывает огромные проблемы с составом. В летнее трансферное окно клуб приобрел голкипера Александра Нюбеля, правого защитника Буна Сарра, опорника Марка Рока, нападающего Максима Шупо-Мотинга, а также вингеров Лероя Сане и Дугласа Косту. При этом команду покинули Тьяго, ушедший в Ливерпуль, а также Иван Перишич, Альваро Одриосола и Фелипе Коутиньо, вернувшиеся в свои клубы из аренды. Еще в прошлом сезоне эксперты заявляли о недостаточном количестве игроков в команде, из-за чего нередко Бавария выходила на матчи с неполной скамейкой запасных. В данной кампании ситуация остается аналогичной. Кроме того, заметны огромные проблемы в обороне коллектива. За первые 4 тура команда пропустила 8 мячей, однако такой показатель компенсируется 17 забитыми голами.
Атлетико
Испанская команда начала сезон с двух побед и двух ничейных результатов. В первом туре Атлетико разгромило Гранаду со счетом 6:1, после чего последовали нулевые ничьи с Уэской и Вильяреалом. Последней игрой на данный момент является встреча с Сельтой, завершившаяся уверенной победой матрасников 2:0. Команда Диего Симеоне показывает традиционный оборонительный стиль игры. Если не учитывать первую встречу в сезоне, где Атлетико показало аномальную результативность, в остальных играх было забито лишь два мяча. Коллектив славится выстроенной и дисциплинированной обороной, которую команда демонстрирует даже в играх со слабыми соперниками. Основная опасность исходит от матрасников на контратаках.
В летнее трансферное окно состав Атлетико пополнили полузащитник Арсенала Лукас Торрейра, а также нападающий Барселоны Луис Суарес. При этом коллектив покинул Томас Партей, перешедший в стан канониров. Вероятнее всего, на активность в это летнее окно серьезно повлиял экономический кризис, вызванный пандемией коронавируса. Несмотря на отсутствие большого количества громких переходов, команда сохранила качество состава, а также ширину скамейки запасных, что наверняка поможет ей в ходе предстоящей кампании.
Расклад перед игрой
Обе команды провели последний матч 17 октября, за четыре дня до начала очной встречи. При этом расписание мюнхенского гранда является куда более плотным. Кроме того, игроки Баварии чаще вызываются в свои сборные, что также может сказаться на их физическом состоянии. Вероятнее всего, мы увидим классический матч с участием Атлетико, где соперник получает контроль над мячом, а матрасники ищут шансы на гол в контратаках. Тем более, оборона действующего чемпиона нередко проваливается, вследствие чего мощная атака мадридцев может рассчитывать на большое количество моментов.
Прогноз на матч
Бавария в этом сезоне является далеко не такой мощной командой, какой она была в предыдущей кампании. Наличие кадровых проблем также говорит о том, что мюнхенцы будут находиться не в оптимальных кондициях перед игрой. Даже если немцам удастся выиграть в матче, маловероятно, что они смогут сделать это более чем в один мяч. Фора +1 на Атлетико за 1,94 кажется отличным выбором. Также букмекеры явно недооценивают возможности обороны матрасников, поэтому вы можете рассмотреть пари на тотал меньше 3 за 1,85.
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